Poland vs. Netherlands – prediction, team news, lineups

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While the hosts have won only four of their last 10 international home matches, the Oranje are unbeaten in each of their last seven on the road in all competitions.

Match preview

Poland's Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring their first goal with Kamil Glik on March 29, 2022© Reuters

After kicking off their Nations League campaign with a 2-1 home victory against Wales in June, Poland have since accumulated only one point from a possible nine available.

A 2-2 draw away against the Netherlands was sandwiched between two defeats against Belgium, including a heavy 6-1 thrashing in Brussels.

Czeslaw Michniewicz, who has been in charge of the national team since January, sees his side sitting third in the group with four points from as many matches, but with Belgium and the Netherlands three and six points ahead of them respectively, their chances of finishing at the summit are extremely slim.

As one of 13 European nations heading to Qatar later this year for the World Cup, Poland will use their final two Nations League fixtures as preparation for their second successive appearance on the biggest footballing stage.

Michniewicz’s men led by two goals in the aforementioned score draw against the Netherlands three months ago, courtesy of strikes from Aston Villa’s Matty Cash and Napoli’s Piotr Zielinski, but the Oranje quickly responded to restore parity through Davy Klaassen and Denzel Dumfries before Memphis Depay missed a 91st-minute penalty.

A victory for Poland on Thursday would secure their survival in League A and would see them match their points tally from the last Nations League campaign with a game to spare.

Netherlands' Steven Bergwijn celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 26, 2022© Reuters

Netherlands are in a strong position to secure top spot in League A Group 4 and progress to the semi-finals of the Nations League, after winning three and drawing one of their first four matches.

An impressive 4-1 win away against former world number ones Belgium kicked off their campaign in style, but they have since been made to work for the other seven points accumulated.

Either side of their 2-2 draw with Poland, Louis van Gaal‘s side remarkably snatched all three points in the dying embers of home and away fixtures against Wales.

A 94th-minute winner from Wout Weghorst secured a 2-1 away win in Cardiff, just two minutes after Rhys Norrington-Davies thought he had snatched a point for Wales with an equaliser, before a Memphis Depay winner in the 93rd minute helped the Oranje claim a dramatic 3-2 victory on home soil, only a minute after Gareth Bale had equalised for Wales from the penalty spot.

Netherlands are currently enjoying a 13-game unbeaten run, dating back to June last year when they lost 2-0 to Czech Republic in the knockout rounds of Euro 2020.

Van Gaal and co will be confident of extending this run and booking their place in the last four of the Nations League, as they are also unbeaten in their last 10 encounters against Poland, including six victories and four draws. Their last defeat against Poland was back in May 1979 when they lost 2-0 away from home in a European Championship qualifier.

Team News

Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk gestures to the fans after the match in August, 2022© Reuters

Poland will be without right-back Matty Cash due to injury, with Bartosz Bereszynski expected to start as a result, while Jakub Kiwior – who made his international debut against Netherlands in the reverse fixture – could keep his place at centre-back ahead of 96-cap Kamil Glik.

Michniewicz could revert back to a 4-2-3-1 formation after using a 5-3-2 system in their most recent defeat against Belgium, with Karol Linetty set to replace the injured Jacek Goralski in centre-midfield.

Star striker Robert Lewandowski, who has already scored 11 goals in just eight games since joining Barcelona over the summer, is expected to lead the line, and support could be provided in attack by wingers Przemyslaw Frankowski and Nicola Zalewski.

As for Netherlands, Van Gaal will be forced to make two changes to his starting lineup as both Hans Hateboer and Noa Lang have not been selected in his 25-man squad.

Either Dumfries or Devyne Rensch is set to replace Hateboer at right wing-back, while midfielder Steven Berghuis could replace Lang, with PSV Eindhoven star Cody Gakpo moving into the front two alongside Memphis Depay.

Virgil van Dijk is expected to start at the centre of a back three, with Matthijs de Ligt and Stefan de Vrij the most likely candidates to join him in defence, while Manchester United’s Tyrell Malacia could be rewarded for his strong start at club level with a start at left wing-back ahead of Daley Blind.

Poland possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Bereszynski, Bednarek, Kiwior, Reca; Krychowiak, Linetty; Frankowski, Zielinski, Zalewski; Lewandowski

Netherlands possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; De Ligt, Van Dijk, De Vrij; Dumfries, Berghuis, Koopmeiners, F. de Jong, Malacia; Gakpo, Memphis

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